For the 39th time we have another episode of Roger Federer v Rafael Nadal.
A place in the Roland Garros final is up for grabs and is their first meeting on clay in some time.
Rafa leads the head to head at 23 wins to Roger’s 15 however the Swiss number one has won their last 6.
Nadal hasn’t beaten Roger for five years.
On clay Rafa has 13 wins in their head to head compared to Roger’s 2.
I can only see one winner here.
I think what Federer has done over the course of the clay court season following a couple years out is very impressive however I just think this is a step too far.
I can’t see a way that Federer can really push Rafa in five sets here.
Even from the best we talk about pressure and we saw a bit of nervousness from Roger when serving out the match against Stan and maybe we could see this from Rafa.
99% of people are saying this should be a win for Rafa and Roger will know that and that could play into his hands of the 37 year old who could use this as a bit of a free hit because the pressure will be on Rafa.
Rafa is two big wins away from a monumental victory.
I do kind of worry for Roger in the same way I worried for Kei though and he only got 5 games on the board?
Roger for me has to look at how he is returning serve.
We’ve seen some good returns of serve from Roger over the course of the week including the backhand and the slice but I can’t physically see them working out too well for him if I’m honest.
I do worry about the slice/block return as I’d expect Rafa to pick it off with the kicker serve/ forehand or net play.
We talk about Roger liking to play quick points but no one does it better than Rafa on clay which is why I can only see the one winner.